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Betting Guide
We’ve covered MLB 5-Inning Lines in the past here, but today we are going to get a bit more in-depth on them. There are multiple ways to bet MLB 5-Inning Lines and today we are going to be talking about 5-Inning Runlines.
The runline is basically a spread like in basketball or football, but for a baseball game. The runline for a full game is 1.5 runs, but for a 5-Inning bet it is 0.5 runs. With the 5-inning lines we like how you can strictly focus on the starter and with such a small runline, we can feel even more confident in betting it. Of course, it’s baseball, so anything can happen, but these bets create a bit more certainty than a full game line where you have to worry about a bad reliever.
This is a bet we like quite a bit and today we are going to show you how we bet it, where to bet it and our strategy for betting it. Let’s get into it.
Where To Bet MLB 5-Inning Runlines:
America: Bovada offer 5-Inning Runlines on all of the day’s games and much more. They have some of the best betting options on all sports, but for baseball they offer runlines, 5-inning lines, moneylines, totals, and a ton of betting props on every single game of the MLB season.
Canada: You can’t do much better than Sports Interaction who offer five-inning lines on every MLB game including 5-inning runlines and totals. They also have a ton of props available for games throughout the MLB season and do offer a nice selection of betting futures as well.
Everywhere Else: 5-Inning runlines are classified as “First Half MLB wagers” on Bet365 Sportsbook. That’s not technically correct, but that’s what they call them so that’s what we are going to bet. Bet365 Sportsbook offer those as well as 5-Inning totals and moneylines, plus a ton of props and betting options for all MLB games.
What is an MLB 5-Inning Runline?
The 5-Inning Runline is a bet set on the first five innings of a baseball game where you either bet with an extra 0.5 runs or give an extra 0.5 runs added to your score. For instance, if you were betting the Dodgers (the favorite) against the Cardinals (the underdog) you would need them to be winning the game at the end of five innings. While if you bet the Cardinals, you would need to be winning or tied because you are adding 0.5 runs to the score.
Whatever happens in the later innings doesn’t matter, we are only looking at the score for the first five innings of the game and nothing else. This is strictly about that five inning period of the game and the 0.5 runline.
Common MLB 5-Inning Runline Questions:
Do underdogs have an edge in a 5-Innng Runline?
The key here is that is a relatively short period of time and in a short amount of time, anything can happen. While the better teams end up doing better over a long sample. The best hitter can go 0-for-2 or 0-for-3, but it becomes less likely as time goes on. That’s the theory at least.
That said, the lines are set this way for a reason. The underdog does have a slight advantage in that they are getting 0.5 runs added to their total. So they would need to be tied after five innings while the favorite needs to be winning. Is that an advantage? I don’t think so. That’s just what the spread is. The spread is set that way for a reason.
You can look up at sites like TeamRankings what a team’s average runs scored are for the season over the first five innings of the game. You can use this number and compare it to the starting pitchers to try and figure out what the score might be.
How To Bet MLB Five-Inning Runlines:
Bovada: From the sportsbook, select “Baseball” from the menu, then “MLB”. The day’s games will be listed here with the 5-inning runlines right there on the page.
Sports Interaction:: From the left side of the website find “Baseball” and click that. Underneath there you should find “MLB” and the day’s games will be listed with a 5-Inning option for each one.
Bet365 Sportsbook: Head to the Baseball section and all of the betting options will be listed on the page, including 5-inning Runlines.
MLB 5-Inning Runlines Betting Strategy:
There is less margin for error when it comes to betting 5-inning runlines so if you are going to follow a starter, make sure that starter is really good and reliable. You don’t want to follow a #3 starter on a team who could easily implode.
One strategy that I’ve seen many people have success with is to look at the two or three biggest moneylines of the day and then attack the 5-inning runline. This is a good strategy as the biggest favorites are typically the best teams with the best pitchers against some of the worst.
The starting pitcher always plays a big part in this bet so you should really do your best to dig into their stats. It’s important to look at their home/road splits as well as their lefty/righty splits and compare it to the players on the other team. For instance, if a team really hits righties well and your pitcher has some issues against righties – you’ll want to take that into account when making your bet.
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