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Betting Guide
Passing is so crucial in the NFL right now. If you don’t have a good quarterback then your chances of competing are pretty much shot. It’s quarterback first and everything else second.
With passing as such a huge part of the game, it makes a lot of sense that you can now not only bet on passing touchdowns and passing completions, but also passing attempts. This is a unique market in that the results don’t matter, only the amount of attempts.
In this article, I am going to delve deeper into the world of passing attempts betting markets. How it works, where to bet it, how to bet it, and everything in between.
Where To Bet NFL Player Passing Attempts:
America: Unfortunately no sportsbooks that accept Americans offer this specific bet. BetOnline don’t currently list this as one of their betting props. However, you can bet passing completions as well as passing yards and passing touchdowns.
Bovada also offers completions and touchdowns, but not attempts.
Everywhere Else: Bet365 Sportsbook is a sportsbook with many NFL props. They offer the passing attempts prop for NFL games as well as completions and touchdowns.
What is NFL Player Passing Attempts betting?
NFL Player Passing Attempts is an over/under market. What this means is that a total is set for the quarterback for the game and you have to bet whether they will have more than or less than that amount of passing attempts in the game.
Here is an example:
Patrick Mahomes 40.5 – Over (-150) / Under (+110)
An over bet, which is thought to be more likely by the sportsbook, would require a $150 bet in order to win $100. If Mahomes throws for 41 or more passing attempts, the bet wins. If he throws for 40 or less, the bet loses.
It doesn’t matter if Mahomes goes 0-for-41 on those attempts, as long as he makes them. That said, you better hope he makes some completions because if he plays that bad then they are probably going to bench him!
Common NFL Player Passing Attempts Questions:
Who are the passing attempts per game leaders?
Most of the top passing attempts per game leaders have played over the past decade plus. The all-time leader in this category, currently, is Andrew Luck with 38.3 attempts per game average during his career.
The entire top-ten of this list has averaged 35 attempts or more per game during their career.
What should I consider when betting the passing attempts prop?
It’s good to wait until later in the season to make this bet when you have more data. In saying that you can always base it on previous data from previous years depending on whether the teams or coaches have changed or not.
Study first of all the quarterback and look at his passing attempts per game. Look at what makes the difference. Is he throwing more when behind? Less when winning? Then you need to gauge how the current matchup will go. It’s easier to just trust Vegas on that one and then base it on that. Also of course pay attention to any injuries – if the key running back is out, the QB may throw it that much more.
You should also consider the opponents. If they are a team who are bad against the run for example, then there is a good chance the team will run it more. You can look back at previous games and see if there is any consistency in that regard against similar defenses.
All the data is there – just have to do that little bit of extra work for it.
How to Bet NFL Player Passing Attempts:
Bet365 Sportsbook: From the website, click “football” and this will bring a full list of the betting options for the week in the NFL. Scroll down to “Player Props” and this section will have all the passing statistic betting options that you are looking for.
NFL Player Passing Attempts Betting Strategy:
It may seem counterintuitive, but this is a bet where I am mostly focusing on the underdog. I would like a game with a high total and then go with the underdog. Why? Because when teams play from behind they usually completely give up on the running game and go all passing, all the time.
The hurry up offense is what I am looking for with this one. That said, the quarterback needs to be decent to do this. You don’t want to go with some guy who averages 200 yards per game. The good news is that there aren’t many guys like that these days.
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